Friday, November 18, 2005
Cameron vs. Davis
Its not long till the deadline before we have to put our ballot papers through. Just as Michael Howard suggested the Conservatives were 1-0 down at half time during the General Election, I would argue Cameron is 2-3 down to Davis at half time. I believe a review of what has happened is needed. Firstly, Question Time, where the two candidates had a one on one debate, saw Davis take the lead. I felt that both candidates did not really express the differences enough until the latter half of the programme and even then people were still unsure if there were many differences. So an early goal for Davis, even though Cameron was well ahead in the polls. Although this was an exceptional match on TV, I for one felt both candidates lacked something, that something I have yet to put my finger on. For Davis I believe he should not make 'promises' such as the £38 million tax cut 4 years away from a General Election. As for Cameron i feel people need to know what you stand for, what policies you believe in. For example, "Critics of David Cameron accuse the Tory party's great white hope of being all style and no substance". So I want something in the middle, this may not be possible, but i want policies at the same time i don’t want our leader making promises so far away from an election.
We then had the Hustings started, the first one being in Leicester. Although the media are not allowed in, you get comments from people who participated to see who was winning. Radio 4's World At One reckoned DD did best at the meeting - something most people agreed with. Even a Cameron man supporter conceded to this. So you would probably agree DD is now 2-0 ahead. Even the Second Hustings, Solihull, a member of the Conservative party called it "Too Civil by Half?” By this he meant it was low key and it did not help him decide who should be leader. But what has shown about these Hustings is that the Candidates are showing their differences. It’s just a shame the public can’t see this! For example, Cameron again made a virtue of being less specific on tax cuts, but the clearest disagreement was on student top-up fees (Cameron in favour; Davis against). Overall, the second hustings was a 'draw'!
So at 2-0 down Cameron had some catching up to do - and he sure did that! DD took the seat to face the Paxman grilling. Davis, simply failed - although can you pass? He was very defensive, he could not answer questions, and when he made promises (the tax policies!) He was "Paxmaned". It was a grim performance, however, in defence of DD you really can’t win over JP - he just doesn’t let you speak! Then Cameron decided to take the initiative and fight JP on a one on one debate as though it was live. Although you can watch the programme he beat DD. While DD let Paxman run all over him Cameron dominated, confronting the interviewer head on. These are the sort of characteristics that we need as hour new leader - if you can handle JP who can easily take on Labour and it’s Spin. Policy was central to this, the gap widening between DD and DC even more. DC supporting extended pub licensing hours. So from here you could argue DC got a goal back making it 2-1.
Other debates have also taken place, like Today programme in a focus group. A focus group of north London floating voters - assembled by Opinion Leader Research for that programme - gave a unanimous thumbs up to Mr Davis. They argued Cameron was too much like Blair and DD came from a common background and represented them. Furthermore, both candidates took to the stand on Women’s Hour. The biggest mistake by DD was to put DD on a t-shirt in a campaign video as well as admitting he prefers blondes. Cameron was wise not to make any comments on this. So after that a 3-2 DD lead.
With all this in mind, DC is consistently winning in the polls, although DD has had some light at the end of the tunnel. I believe DC is our man, I believe he is winning the campaign, but what we have shown so far is the Conservatives are changing, we are credible and we can win the next election. So whoever you vote for, remember there is still a long way to go and anything could happen.
Half time score DC 2 - DD 3
We then had the Hustings started, the first one being in Leicester. Although the media are not allowed in, you get comments from people who participated to see who was winning. Radio 4's World At One reckoned DD did best at the meeting - something most people agreed with. Even a Cameron man supporter conceded to this. So you would probably agree DD is now 2-0 ahead. Even the Second Hustings, Solihull, a member of the Conservative party called it "Too Civil by Half?” By this he meant it was low key and it did not help him decide who should be leader. But what has shown about these Hustings is that the Candidates are showing their differences. It’s just a shame the public can’t see this! For example, Cameron again made a virtue of being less specific on tax cuts, but the clearest disagreement was on student top-up fees (Cameron in favour; Davis against). Overall, the second hustings was a 'draw'!
So at 2-0 down Cameron had some catching up to do - and he sure did that! DD took the seat to face the Paxman grilling. Davis, simply failed - although can you pass? He was very defensive, he could not answer questions, and when he made promises (the tax policies!) He was "Paxmaned". It was a grim performance, however, in defence of DD you really can’t win over JP - he just doesn’t let you speak! Then Cameron decided to take the initiative and fight JP on a one on one debate as though it was live. Although you can watch the programme he beat DD. While DD let Paxman run all over him Cameron dominated, confronting the interviewer head on. These are the sort of characteristics that we need as hour new leader - if you can handle JP who can easily take on Labour and it’s Spin. Policy was central to this, the gap widening between DD and DC even more. DC supporting extended pub licensing hours. So from here you could argue DC got a goal back making it 2-1.
Other debates have also taken place, like Today programme in a focus group. A focus group of north London floating voters - assembled by Opinion Leader Research for that programme - gave a unanimous thumbs up to Mr Davis. They argued Cameron was too much like Blair and DD came from a common background and represented them. Furthermore, both candidates took to the stand on Women’s Hour. The biggest mistake by DD was to put DD on a t-shirt in a campaign video as well as admitting he prefers blondes. Cameron was wise not to make any comments on this. So after that a 3-2 DD lead.
With all this in mind, DC is consistently winning in the polls, although DD has had some light at the end of the tunnel. I believe DC is our man, I believe he is winning the campaign, but what we have shown so far is the Conservatives are changing, we are credible and we can win the next election. So whoever you vote for, remember there is still a long way to go and anything could happen.
Half time score DC 2 - DD 3
Comments:
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I'm definately leaning Cameron now, although this is not quite an endorsement.
Lets see what the next fortnight holds.
Lets see what the next fortnight holds.
I think you've missed two important goals for Cameron, the support of William Hague and the support of Liam Fox, that to me makes it 4-3! This two guys weild a fair amount of influence and are important to DC's chances
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