Saturday, February 25, 2006
The risk of electing Chris Huhne
Chris Huhne, who only became an MP last year is now the bookies' favourite to win the Liberal Democrats Leadership contest. The odds have dropped from 80-1 before Christmas to 4-6. Menzies Campbell is 6-4 and Simon Hughs is trailing at 16-1.
He is MP for Eastleigh in Hampshire but only has a 568-vote majority, falling from a 3,058 majority in the 2001 general election and a 9,239 majority in the 1994 by-election when the tories lost the seat. This by-election occured because of the death of Stephen Milligan. This majority of 568 risks being wiped out by the tories in four years' time. This insisted that a vote for Huhne would be a huge gamble for the Lib Dems.
The Tories are already planning to pour massive resources into the constitiuency. This could result in Huhne spending the election campaign fighting to save his own seat instead of leading the party.
The Lib Dems contest will end on Thursday but you got to remember that the favourite doens't not always win. David Davis in the Try leadership and Paris in the 2012 Olympic bid were the favourites but didn't win. I still want Simon Hughes to win. Roll on Thursday.
# posted by Anonymous @ 10:41 pm 
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You have to remember that many voters in his constituency might vote for him just because he is leader of a political party.
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