Saturday, November 04, 2006

 

States to Keep an Eye On

Midterm elections, like the election coming up in five days, often shed light on the probable outcome of the Presidential elections approaching in 2008. Some of the key states that can make or break a continued Republican presence in the White House include Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Florida today, Ohio tomorrow, and Pennsylvania Sunday.

Florida
Republican Katherine Harris is running against Democrat incumbent Bill Nelson. Latest polling shows Nelson taking lead with 59% support and Harris falling behind with 33%. Harris had a bad reputation coming out of the 2000 election and it has followed her to her Senate bid in 2006. Am I “worried” you asked, not at all. Florida has a strong conservative population. The current race for state governor in Florida shows the Republican candidate in the lead, and it looks like voters are leaning towards the Republican candidates for state legislatures. What does all this indicate? Well, depending on who runs for President in 2008, Florida is likely to remain true to its solid conservative base that will show itself when it goes to the polls on nearly all of Florida’s elections.

Needless to say, Democrats are going to spend weeks-on-end spinning around in fields of daisies with grins from ear-to-ear when a Democratic senator walks into Washington representing a contested state. We’ll let them, but when 2008 rolls in, those frowns will be turning upside-down.

Now, for all you visual learners, I’m going to provide some electorate maps, but I’m going to have to explain a few things first. Here in the states, we’ve assigned the color red with us Republicans (the conservatives) and blue with the Democrats (the liberals). From what I hear, the UK has blue for the conservatives, and red for the socialist commies. I don’t want anyone to think the U.S. is run by a bunch of socialists. Also of note “GOP” stands for Grand Old Party, which is a nickname for the Republican Party. Here is the voter turnout in Florida in the 2004 Senatorial race (source: CNN.com):


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